Some elite teams are taking the hardwood tonight in college basketball. I asked the AI Model for its three favorite bets and provided them below, as always with top betting odds from our favorite sportsbooks.Â
Picks Summary
- Louisiana +30.5 (-110)
- Troy-Arkansas Under 152 (-110)
- Long Beach St-San Francisco Over 148.5 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Houston Cougars
Wednesday, November 13, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Fertitta Center
The AI Model believes the Houston Cougars will defeat Louisiana 84-54. However, Louisiana is a 30.5-point underdog on the road. They’ve got the value here.
Too Much Disrespect For Louisiana?
Louisiana lost to Kent State by four points and defeated a non-D1 school by 17. It hasn’t been a great start for the Ragin’ Cajuns. However, Louisiana shot 45% from three against Kent State and held Kent State to 25% from three on the other end.
Don’t expect Louisiana to add a bunch of offensive rebounds. But if they can just shoot a little better from the floor against Houston, they’ll likely escape without losing by more than 30 points.
After all, Louisiana earned 24% of turnovers in that game against Kent State earlier this season.
Can Houston Win By 30?
The Houston Cougars are massive favorites. But the issue here is that Houston isn’t getting to the foul line much.
Houston had a FTA/FGA of 23.2, which ranks 309th in college basketball. If Houston doesn’t get freebies at the line, it’ll be hard to go up by more than 30 points with the time ticking away. Additionally, Houston only shot 50% from inside the arc in their loss to Auburn. So that’s nothing to write home about, either.
Using the AI Model, I’ll back the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at +30.5 tonight.
NCAAB Pick: Louisiana +30.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Wednesday, November 13, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Bud Walton Arena
Our AI Model thinks Troy and Arkansas will combine for 151 points. However, Caesars has set the total at 152. Therefore, the Under looks to have the most value in this game.
Troy’s Good Start
The Troy Trojans have won two consecutive games to begin the season. They held both opponents below 75 points, but they will have their toughest task against Arkansas tonight.
Still, Troy has allowed just a 41.4% effective field goal percentage and has held teams to 18.9% from three. Arkansas has hit just 23.1% from downtown, which is good news for Troy’s defense.
Arkansas’ Elite Defense
Troy has been great defensively. However, Arkansas has been better.
Arkansas ranks 12th in defensive efficiency, holding opponents to 20.6% of offensive rebounds and minimal foul shot attempts. Opponents have also shot 31.4% from three and have turned the ball over more than 19% of the time.
Arkansas’ defense will be on full display against Troy.
Consider the Under 152 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Under 152 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Long Beach State Beach vs. San Francisco Dons
Wednesday, November 13, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at The Sobrato Center
The AI Model suggests San Francisco and Long Beach State will total 151 points in tonight’s late-night showdown. At Caesars, you can wager on the Over at 148.5. That’s a lot of value per our AI Model.
Long Beach Can Shoot!
The Long Beach State Beach hit just 37.9% from inside the arc in their first D1 game of the season. However, they also hit 42.3% from downtown and 88.9% from the foul line.
Don’t expect the Beach to shoot below 40% from inside the arc this season. In addition, the Beach should get many foul shot attempts against San Francisco. San Francisco has allowed a FTA/FGA that ranks 202nd in college basketball.
San Francisco’s Breakout Coming
San Francisco took care of business against Boise State and is now 2-0 this season. Yet, the Dons haven’t exploded offensively.
Tonight, they’ll do just that.
The Dons will battle a Long Beach State team that just allowed 38.5% from three and 55.8% from inside to South Dakota State. The Dons are elite inside the arc and will get to the foul line plenty.
Back the Over 148.5. Long Beach State is a bit slow on offense, but they’ll have to keep up the pace when trailing.
NCAAB Pick: Over 148.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
