There are some epic games on the college basketball slate tonight. We’ve got a top-25 matchup and many other matchups that I’m excited for. Therefore, I went to the AI Model and asked for its favorite bets for some of the biggest games. Here’s what I got.
Picks Summary
- Purdue +2.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Arizona -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Texas A&M -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Friday, November 15, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Mackey Arena
The AI Model believes Purdue, as a 2.5-point underdog, will only lose by two points tonight. That said, Purdue at +2.5 is the way to go.
Alabama Is Struggling From Three
The Alabama Crimson Tide have only shot 30.1% from downtown to start the season. They’ve also hit just 67.6% from the foul line.
Alabama is shooting terrific inside the arc. However, they’ll still likely struggle from deep. After all, Purdue has allowed teams to shoot just 27.9% from three this season.
Still, Alabama should at least be able to limit turnovers. That should help them in getting more shots up. But that won’t matter if they don’t take them from deep.
Fewer Turnovers For Purdue
The Purdue Boilermakers have turned the ball over 18.8% of the time. They’ve also added just 28.4% of offensive rebounds.
While the offensive rebounds will still be challenging to come by, it’s more likely Purdue will be careful with the basketball at home against Alabama. Alabama has only added 15.5% turnovers per game and just 8% steals.
As long as Purdue doesn’t shoot itself in the foot, they’ll come away with many great possessions.
The AI Model likes Purdue at +2.5, and so do I.
NCAAB Pick: Purdue +2.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Friday, November 15, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Kohl Center
Our AI Model thinks Arizona will defeat Wisconsin 79-74 tonight. Arizona is a 4.5-point favorite against the spread per Caesars. That’s fine, especially since Arizona is expected to win by five per our AI Model.
Arizona’s Defense Looks Legitimate
The Arizona Wildcats have held opponents to 28.6% from three and 42.4% from inside the arc this season.
In addition, Arizona has allowed just 18.7% of offensive rebounds and has rarely fouled teams to date.
Meanwhile, Wisconsin has struggled to get to the foul line this season. They’ve hit 92.5% from the charity stripe but aren’t getting there often. Look for that to continue for Wisconsin, even at home, tonight.
Can Arizona Shoot The Three Better?
The Arizona Wildcats have only shot 32% from downtown. However, Wisconsin has watched its opponents drain 37.8% from three.
Arizona doesn’t shoot a ton of three-pointers. But they’ll likely have more open looks tonight. If the Wildcats can knock down those three-point looks, they’ll easily win this game on the road.
Let’s grab Arizona at -4.5 and -110 betting odds.
NCAAB Pick: Arizona -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Friday, November 15, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Reed Arena
The AI Model suggests Texas A&M will earn a seven-point win at home against Ohio State. The Aggies are 6.5-point favorites at home. Thus, backing Texas A&M is the play.
Too Many Turnovers For Ohio State!
To start the season, the Ohio State Buckeyes have turned the ball over 21.4% of the time and have added minimal foul-shot attempts.
The Buckeyes have drained 48% from three to start the year. But that’s probably not a realistic number in the future. It’s going to regress a bit.
Meanwhile, the Aggies have held opponents to 30.9% from three and 40.8% from inside the arc. Texas A&M fouls a lot, but Ohio State isn’t very aggressive when trying to gain fouls.
Aggies’ Dominance On The Glass
Texas A&M has gained 43.4% of offensive rebounds to begin the year. With Ohio State still allowing 31.5% of offensive rebounds, Texas A&M likely has success on the glass. That’ll give them more second chances.
In addition, it’s hard to believe that Ohio State can sustain allowing teams to shoot just 20% from three and 37.7% from inside the arc.
That won’t be the case against Texas A&M, who has shot above average in both categories to start the season.
Give me Texas A&M at -6.5.
NCAAB Pick: Texas A&M -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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