We’ve got a loaded slate of elite college basketball games. Here are three bets the AI Model loves for tonight’s action, with the best betting odds available at the top sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Florida -18 (-110) at Bet365
- Hofstra-Houston Over 131.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Nebraska +11 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Florida Gators
Friday, November 22, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Stephen C. O’Connell Center
The AI Model believes Florida will cover an 18-point spread with a 19-point victory tonight. Florida is currently 5-0 and will be home against Southern Illinois.
Why Southern Illinois Will Lose Big
The Southern Illinois Salukis have only grabbed 22.8% of offensive rebounds and have hit just 64.4% from the foul line.
When you don’t do the little things, disaster will occur.
After all, Florida has some big bodies that can limit the glass. In addition, Florida doesn’t even foul that often. When Southern Illinois gets to the line and misses, they won’t have many opportunities to return there.
After all, Florida has also held opponents to a 45.1% effective field goal percentage and has held teams to 43.1% inside the arc. The Gators are elite inside the arc defensively.
How Good Can Florida’s Offense Be?
Ultimately, the sky is the limit for Florida’s offense. The Gators haven’t shot well from three just yet. However, they’ve nailed 63.5% from inside the arc and have grabbed 41.6% of offensive rebounds.
So far, the Gators are rebounding those missed threes and getting easy putbacks. Beyond that, Florida has been getting to the foul line at a high level and keeping turnovers down. The turnovers should stay down against SIU. SIU has earned just 15.2% of turnovers and has added only 7.4% of blocks this season.
The Gators haven’t even come close to reaching their full potential yet. This could be a big blowout win for Florida.
NCAAB Pick: Florida -18 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Hofstra Pride vs. Houston Cougars
Friday, November 22, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Fertitta Center
The AI Model believes Houston and Hofstra will combine for 132 points. However, Bet365 is carrying a 131.5 number. That means the Over 131.5 is the play in this game.
Hofstra Can Shoot!
The Hofstra Pride have shot 36.3% from three, 52.4% from inside the arc, and 74.2% from the foul line.
They’re facing one of the most difficult defenses in college basketball. However, Hofstra has faced multiple top-tier squads and will be prepared against Houston. This team can still drop shots and help hit the Over.
Houston Is Selective
The Houston Cougars aren’t taking a high amount of threes. But when they do, those three typically go down.
The Cougars have nailed 48.2% from three and lead all college basketball. In addition, the Cougars have grabbed 41.1% of offensive rebounds.
Hofstra has held teams to a super high rate of 32.5% of offensive rebounds and fouls. In addition, Houston hasn’t even been a slow offense this season, ranking 257th in average possession length.
I’ll take the Over 131.5 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Over 131.5 (-110) at Bet365
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Creighton Bluejays
Friday, November 22, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at CHI Health Center Omaha
The AI Model likes Creighton to win by ten points. However, Nebraska is an 11-point underdog. Taking Nebraska on the road is the way to go.
Fewer Turnovers For Nebraska
Nebraska has turned the ball over 18.8% of the time this season. That’s somewhat high. However, they’re facing a Creighton squad that has only earned 13.7% of turnovers per game.
It’s more likely Nebraska limits turnovers and gets more shots up.
That said, Nebraska isn’t shooting very well from three and might struggle to score consistently inside. It’ll even be hard for Nebraska to find ways to get to the foul line. However, the Cornhuskers have still shot 53.6% from inside the arc and will have more opportunities with fewer turnovers.
Creighton Doesn’t Do The Little Things
Creighton will likely win this game outright. However, the Bluejays have turned the ball over 18.1% themselves and have only earned 32% of offensive rebounds. In addition, they’ve got to the foul line a lot fewer times than Nebraska.
If Creighton doesn’t win these small battles, covering a double-digit spread will be hard.
Consider Nebraska at +11 per our AI Model.
NCAAB Pick: Nebraska +11 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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