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NCAA Basketball Computer Picks for November 4: Texas Set to Exploit Weak Defense

Chendall Weaver Texas Longhorns v Tennessee Volunteers
Chendall Weaver #2 of the Texas Longhorns celebrates a basket during the first half against the Tennessee Volunteers. Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images/AFP

It’s the start of the college basketball season! While we don’t have the analytics of any team, we tried our best to provide analysis using the AI Model for tonight’s college basketball contests.

Picks Summary 


Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Marquette Golden Eagles

Monday, November 04, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum


The AI Model thinks Stony Brook and Marquette will combine for 143 points. However, Caesars is carrying a total of 146.5 for this matchup.

How Will Marquette Play Without Its Top Two Players?

The Marquette Golden Eagles no longer have Tyler Kolek and Oso Ighodaro.

They’ve still got Kam Jones, but Kolek was the offense’s facilitator. We might see Jones run the point more this season, especially after he already averaged more than two assists per game last year.

While the offense is still a question mark, we know how the Marquette Golden Eagles are always prepared defensively. Stevie Mitchell and Chase Ross will be the top two defenders this season.

I still think Marquette will be more dependent on shooting from downtown.

No Faith In Stony Brook

While the Stony Brook Seawolves finished 20-15 last season, they were picked ninth of 14 in the CAA. They’re the leading returning scorer, adding just 5.8 points per game. So it’s going to take some time for the Seawolves to gel as a unit.

When facing Shaka Smart pressure, it can turn into chaos fast. Don’t expect Stony Brook to have a big day offensively.

I’ll side with the AI Model and take the Under 146.5 at -110 betting odds for this game.

NCAAB Pick: Under 146.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Texas Longhorns

Monday, November 04, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at T-Mobile Arena


Our AI Model thinks the Texas Longhorns will defeat the Ohio State Buckeyes, 75-71, in tonight’s Hall of Fame Series – Las Vegas tournament game. Texas is only -3 at Caesars, so there’s value in the Longhorns.

Jake Diebler Got The Head Coaching Job

The Ohio State Buckeyes made Jake Diebler the permanent head coach after a successful interim job last season. He coached in the final 11 games of the season and helped Ohio State average nearly 78 points when they only averaged 75.5 prior.

In addition, Diebler earned a commitment from his leading scorer, Bruce Thronton, for this season. Thornton averaged nearly 16 points per game and will likely be Ohio State’s leading scorer again this year.

Ohio State has also added some premium transfers and has one of the better backcourts in college basketball. I just don’t see how the defense will improve enough this year.

Taking Advantage Of Ohio State’s Weakness

The Texas Longhorns won’t have leading scorers Max Abamas and Dylan Disu. But new transfers like Tramon Mark and Arthur Kaluma should fill in nicely. Those two are already notable names who switched to Texas for an opportunity to play for a national championship.

Texas has a lot of depth beyond those transfers, too. Therefore, consider the Longhorns at -3. This team is loaded with talent and should thrive offensively.

NCAAB Pick: Texas -3 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Baylor Bears vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Monday, November 04, 2024 – 11:30 PM ET at Spokane Arena


The AI Model thinks Gonzaga will add an 80-74 victory over Baylor in the Findlay Auto Tip-Off in Spokane, Washington.

Baylor Should Be Really Deep…Soon

The Baylor Bears brought in Jeremy Roach from Duke and added a massive freshman in VJ Edgecombe. We don’t know if Langston Love is 100% healthy, but Jayden Nunn is a good guard who will earn some minutes.

Ultimately, the guards are nothing to worry about. It’s the forwards. Baylor was able to add Norchad Omier from Miami, but without Yves Missi and JaKobe Walter, Baylor could have lack in size down there. They’ll likely have to play four-guard lineups and play faster.

Could This Be Gonzaga’s Year?

We get hyped over Gonzaga every season, and they disappoint down the stretch.

However, Andrew Nembhard will return, and Graham Ike is healthy and should dominate down low. After all, Gonzaga is returning six of its top seven scorers and added Khalif Battle, a premium scorer.

It stinks Steele Venters suffered his second season-ending injury in as many years. He won’t be available. But this team is still super deep and already knows one another for the most part. That’ll be huge to start the season.

Let’s ride Gonzaga at -5.5 at home.

NCAAB Pick: Gonzaga -5.5 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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