We’re left with only four teams remaining in the NFL Playoffs. Those two games should be really exciting, too.
The Kansas City Chiefs will again face the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship. This time, the Bills have the roster to win and make the Super Bowl.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles will play the Washington Commanders in the NFC Championship Game. The Eagles and Commanders split the season series, with the Commanders winning the most recent game. This should be an elite game since the rivalry is already strong.
Let’s take a look at the AI Model’s projections before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Commanders/Eagles Over 47.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Bills ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, January 26, 2025 – 03:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field
Jayden Daniels’ Poise
The Washington Commanders brought in new ownership, a new coach, a new quarterback and many veterans to help the locker room. And boy, did it make a difference.
The Commanders finished the regular season 12-5 and have earned back-to-back wins in the playoffs against the Buccaneers and Lions. With Jayden Daniels, the Commanders have scored 68 points in their two playoff games, proving how much poise the young rookie has. He also has the trust of his players. It’s apparent on and off the field.
Daniels has completed nearly 70% of his passes in the playoffs. Most importantly, he’s thrown four touchdowns without an interception in the playoffs. Usually, interceptions are “rookie” mistakes. But he hasn’t had many of those moments, especially in the playoffs.
That said, while the offense has cruised this season, the defense hasn’t. The defense has given up 23.26 points per game and has struggled in the secondary and the run. Washington has allowed more than 138 yards on the ground per game, which isn’t ideal with a matchup against the Eagles up next.
Philadelphia suggested its goal was 300 rushing yards in its latest win against the Rams. Behind Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts, that’s always a possibility. Barkley will likely break out for multiple big gainers, as he has in almost every game this year.
What About The Eagles’ Defense?
The Eagles are much better on defense. The secondary has allowed just 175.33 yards in the air per game, and the run defense has given up 104.33 yards per game. That’s why the Eagles are favorites. However, on any given day, something random can happen.
On December 22, the Commanders stunned the Eagles and won 36-33 after Jayden Daniels threw five touchdown passes. He also had two interceptions in that game but still finished with a QBR of 96.2.
Granted, Jalen Hurts wasn’t the quarterback in that game for long, as he was hurt and replaced by Kenny Pickett. Still, Daniels succeeded against the Eagles’ defense when not many quarterbacks and teams did.
The Pick
Consider the Over 47.5 in this matchup.
NFL Pick: Commanders/Eagles Over 47.5 (-110) at Bet365
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, January 26, 2025 – 06:30 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium
The Bills Are Good Enough!
The Buffalo Bills have struggled to get past the Kansas City Chiefs in the Patrick Mahomes–Josh Allen era of the NFL.
The Chiefs are looking for their third consecutive Super Bowl while the Bills haven’t even made it behind Josh Allen. However, this feels like it could be Buffalo’s year.
After all, Buffalo already defeated the Chiefs in the regular season, 30-21. In that game, the Bills earned more first downs and held the Chiefs to just 259 total yards of offense. Better yet, the Bills committed only three penalties in the entire game. That likely won’t be the case on the road in Kansas City. But it’s worth noting.
Kansas City Still Didn’t Impress Enough Last Week
The Kansas City Chiefs didn’t impress against the Texans last week in the AFC Divisional Playoffs. The team added just 14 first downs and averaged just 4.2 yards per play. The Chiefs added just 50 yards on the ground and only 212 total yards of offense.
The Texans outplayed them and still came away with the win. Most teams have failed to escape the Chiefs. The Bills aren’t one of them. They’ve outplayed the Chiefs and found a way to win.
The Pick
Let’s take the Bills to beat the Chiefs in the playoffs finally. Grab the Bills at +100.
NFL Pick: Bills ML (+100) at Caesars Sportsbook
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