We’re headed to Week 9 of the NFL season! There are some big games on the slate and plenty of matchups with some value on the board. I used the AI model to find the value and then paired up my thoughts and stats to decide on the best three bets for this weekend’s slate.
Here are the top three bets that you’ll want to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Falcons -1.5 (-110)
- Commanders ML (-180)
- Cardinals -1 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, November 03, 2024 – 01:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium
The AI Model thinks the Atlanta Falcons will add a 25-22 win against the Dallas Cowboys this weekend. Dallas has become one of the most laughable franchises in the NFL this season. With only three wins, it makes sense that the Model likes the Falcons to win at home.
Dallas Isn’t Helping Itself
The Dallas Cowboys have had multiple games this year where they’ve been down by three possessions, only to get within one possession and lose.
The Cowboys aren’t playing good situational football. They’re also just a below-average team with nothing going for them. It’s been bad decision after bad decision from players and coaches. Let’s even throw Jerry Jones in there. The ownership hasn’t been good, either.
Kirk Cousins Is Feeling It
Kirk Cousins and the Falcons will have momentum for this game. Cousins had another 4+ touchdown game against the Buccaneers and now has thrown for 14 touchdowns this season. He’s got many more weapons on offense, and the Atlanta secondary looks far and beyond better than Dallas’.
The Pick
I’ll back the Falcons at -1.5 here.
NFL Pick: Falcons -1.5 (-110) at Bet365
Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants
Sunday, November 03, 2024 – 01:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium
The AI Model believes the Washington Commanders will knock off the New York Giants, 24-17. At Bet365, the Commanders are -180 on the moneyline. However, since they’re projected to win by seven points, the -180 pricetag is still valuable.
Jayden Daniels Will Heal Up
The Washington Commanders let Jayden Daniels play with a rib injury last week. His throws weren’t nearly on point. But his final throw of the night landed in Noah Brown’s hands on a hail marry to seal a wild victory against the Chicago Bears.
Daniels will likely recover more this week and then get to face a Giants team coming off a Monday Night game. Daniels and the Commanders will have more time to prepare and recover, so they should easily outscore the Giants in this one.
New York Is 0-4 At Home
The Giants are winless at home this season.
In an earlier game against Washington, the Giants scored just 18 points in a 21-18 loss. However, the Commanders have improved offensively since that game, and the Giants have failed to score 18+ points in two consecutive games.
New York is known for its pass rush, but Jayden Daniels is known for his ability to escape pressure and create with his feet.
The Pick
Take the Commanders at -180 on the moneyline.
NFL Pick: Commanders ML (-180) at Bet365
Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, November 03, 2024 – 04:25 PM ET at State Farm Stadium
Our AI Model likes the Arizona Cardinals to earn a 23-21 win over the Chicago Bears. The Model predicts a two-point win, and you can find the Cardinals at -1. There’s value in this game with the Cardinals.
Can’t Trust Caleb Williams
The Bears almost defeated the Washington Commanders on Sunday. However, it wasn’t because of Caleb Williams’ play. He had a solid drive that helped the Bears take the lead late in the fourth quarter. However, the rookie QB completed 41.7% of passes and didn’t add a single touchdown.
Even against a below-average secondary, I don’t trust Williams to make accurate throws.
Arizona’s Improving
With all the hype around Tua Tagovailoa’s return, the Cardinals earned a 28-27 win over the Dolphins on the road last week. Arizona has won three of its previous four games and has done enough defensively to get the wins.
The Cardinals’ offense is very capable behind Kyler Murray. Look for Murray and the Cardinals to run the ball well against Chicago to help them get the win at home.
The Pick
I’m with the AI Model. Let’s ride with the Cardinals at -1.
NFL Pick: Cardinals -1 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
