The Boston Celtics are the first team to exit the second round of the NBA Playoffs. That said, we used an AI Computer model to help us determine at top-rated sportsbooks who will join the Celtics in the final four.
For more of our betting analysis, check out:
NBA Pick
- Nuggets +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Thursday, May 16, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Target Center
Our AI Model believes the Denver Nuggets will only lose to the Minnesota Timberwolves by two points. However, the Nuggets are +2.5 via Caesars Sportsbook and ultimately have the value for tonight’s Game 6 matchup.
Minnesota’s Collapse
The Timberwolves led the series 2-0 after two road wins. However, Minnesota managed to cough up the two-game lead and are now trailing 3-2 heading into tonight’s Game 6 matchup against the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves are not scoring at a high rate against Denver. Their best performance is 118.9 points per 100 possessions, which is above average but nothing spectacular.
Meanwhile, the offense has turned the ball over at least 15.2% of the time in two of the last three games, and the offense has struggled on the glass to earn second-chance opportunities in the series.
On the other hand, Minnesota has allowed at least 121.7 points per 100 possessions and has given up an effective field goal percentage of at least 60.6% in three consecutive games, all of which were losses.
Denver’s Defense Is Showing Up!
The Nuggets don’t typically do well defensively. Look at their first series against the Lakers. The Nuggets’ best defensive effort was holding the Lakers to 108.7 points per 100 possessions. However, the defense held Minnesota to no more than 104.3 points per 100 possessions in two of the last three games.
The Nuggets have added a bunch of turnovers and have done a solid job on the defensive glass. They’ve also done well keeping fouls down against the Timberwolves.
The Pick
In a strong defensive effort, the AI Model and I like the Nuggets to at least cover the spread against the Timberwolves.
NBA Pick: Nuggets +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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