Yesterday, I reviewed Thursday’s matchups using the AI Model. Today, we’ll take a look at the best bets for Friday’s college basketball slate in the Sweet 16.
The AI Model predicts that the Ole Miss Rebels and Michigan State Spartans will score 144 points in Friday’s Sweet 16 game. However, the total is currently 143.5, suggesting that this game has some value on the over. Let’s take it.
NCAAB Pick: Over 143.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Check out our other Friday picks:
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Michigan State Spartans
Friday, March 28, 2025 – 7:09 PM EDT at State Farm Arena
Ole Miss Can Keep Turnovers To a Minimum!
The Ole Miss Rebels have shot a 51.6% effective field goal percentage while hitting 34.8% from deep and 51.1% from inside the arc.
This is nothing special. However, it’s still above average. Plus, the fact that the Rebels have turned the ball over just 12.9% of the time is intriguing.
With so many shots, the Rebels should be able to put up a quality score in this ball game.
Michigan State doesn’t force many turnovers and has held teams to a 46.1% effective field goal percentage. The Spartans have also allowed only 24.4% of offensive rebounds.
Still, as long as Ole Miss keeps the turnovers down, they’ll be in this game and score steadily.
Michigan State Does The Little Things!
The Michigan State Spartans don’t shoot it well from downtown. However, the Spartans have added 35.8% of offensive rebounds and a super high FTA/FGA ratio. Those two areas are where Ole Miss has struggled defensively.
Michigan State will add plenty of points with the time stopped. They’ll also score off second chances. Take the Over 143.5 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Over 143.5 (-110) at Bet365
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