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Orioles vs. Reds MLB Computer Pick: Cincinnati’s Lefties Are in for a Treat

Cincinnati Reds Will Benson mlb computer pick
Will Benson #30 of the Cincinnati Reds grounds out in the fifth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Great American Ball Park on May 04, 2024. Dylan Buell/Getty Images/AFP

We’ve got plenty of exciting matchups in the MLB today. Here’s one of the many bets the MLB AI Model likes for today’s slate.

The AI Model suggests the Reds will defeat the Orioles, 4.9-3.9 in today’s showdown.

With a potential one-run win, the Reds on the moneyline looks to be the play at the top betting sites.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Computer Pick: Reds (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds

Sunday, May 05, 2024 – 04:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park


Cincinnati’s Lefties In For A Treat

The Orioles will pitch Dean Kremer. He’s a righty who has already allowed a .259 ISO and a .325 wOBA to his first 64 lefties.

Kremer struggled against lefties last year and has had the same issue this year while allowing more power and extra-base hits.

Meanwhile, the Reds will have more lefties than righties in their lineup today. Since last season, those lefties have combined to hit a .230 ISO and wOBA of .352 against righties.

Cincinnati’s Ace, Nick Lodolo

On the other hand, the Reds will send out Nick Lodolo, who has pitched like a bonafide ace. He’s struck out nearly 33% of batters and has allowed a .082 ISO and wOBA of .238 to his first 95 batters.

Lodolo has had success against both sides of the plate and will face an Orioles lineup that has struck out against lefties 23.6% of the time since last season.

MLB Computer Pick

The Reds have the better matchups overall in this one. At -115, they are certainly the value play in this game.

MLB Computer Pick: Reds (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook

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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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