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BETTING

Padres vs. Braves MLB Computer Pick: Limiting Runs Will be Key

Matt Olson Atlanta Braves mlb computer picks
Matt Olson #28 of the Atlanta Braves hits an RBI single during the first inning against the San Diego Padres at Truist Park on May 17, 2024. Alex Slitz/Getty Images/AFP

With 15 games on today’s MLB slate, we asked the AI Model for some best bets. It came through with a few bets that we definitely can’t pass up. Here’s one of the three best bets you’ll want to consider for today’s slate.

Our AI Model believes the Braves will add a 5.3-3.7 victory over the Padres tonight. However, you can find the Braves at just -115 on the moneyline at the top betting sites. With those numbers, the Braves at -115 looks like a steal.

For more betting analysis, check out:

MLB Computer Pick: Braves (-115) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

Sunday, May 19, 2024 – 07:10 PM ET at Truist Park


Limiting Walks Is Key

The Braves will start tonight’s game with Bryce Elder, a right-handed pitcher with under 100 plate appearances this season.

Elder has only struck out 17.4% of batters. He’s also allowed a .379 wOBA. However, Elder has earned 56.1% of ground balls and has limited walks to 8.7%. Those are two crucial numbers that Elder will need to continue building on against the Padres in tonight’s game.

San Diego has only walked 7.2% of the time against righties. Meanwhile, the lineup has hit about 43% of ground balls against righties. Those are two areas where Elder could excel tonight.

Darvish Has Done The Opposite

While Yu Darvish has limited walks, he’s allowed nearly 30% of fly balls and has induced just 35.6% of ground balls. His numbers are good right now. He’s 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA.

But if he continues to allow nearly 27% of line drives, about 30% of fly balls, and induces only 35.6% of ground balls, that ERA is going to flip over soon.

The Braves don’t have the most efficient lineup right now. But they’ll hit the ball in the air. The entire lineup has reasonable power against righties, dating back to last season.

MLB Computer Pick

That said, don’t be scared to back the Braves at home at -115.

MLB Computer Pick: Braves ML (-115) at Bet365

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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