The AI Model helped us go 2-1 with its best bets yesterday. Let’s carry that momentum into tonight’s MLB picks. Here’s one of three MLB bets you should consider at top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Padres ML (-155) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
Saturday, September 14, 2024 – 09:05 PM ET at Oracle Park
Our AI Model likes the Padres to add a 5.3-2.2 win over the Giants tonight. With the Padres at -155, the value is all over San Diego tonight.
Musgrove Is In Playoff Form
The San Diego Padres are finally getting solid pitching from Joe Musgrove. It took almost the entire year, but he’s been sensational over the last 30 days. Musgrove has added more than 30% of strikeouts over the last month, holding his previous 109 batters to a .137 ISO and wOBA of .275.
Beyond that, Musgrove has added 27.7% of whiffs and 13.2% of swinging strikes while giving up only 21.7% of line drives.
San Francisco has struck out at a super high rate against righties, and that certainly doesn’t look like it’ll change tonight.
Mason Black Can’t Stick Around
The Giants will give the ball to young right-hander Mason Black. He’s allowed a lot of fly balls and rarely earns ground balls. In addition, he’s given up a .250 ISO and wOBA of .407 to his first 111 batters this season. Black has seen an uptick in strikeouts in the last 30 days. But overall, he’s only struck out just 19.8% of batters this season.
San Diego’s lineup has struck out only 17.3% of the time against righties over the last month. The lineup also has five batters with a high ISO and six batters with a wOBA of above .320 during the previous 30 days.
The Pick
Let’s ride the Padres at -155, thanks to the AI Model.
MLB Pick: Padres ML (-155) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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