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BETTING

Padres vs. Rockies MLB Computer Pick: Musgrove’s Strikeouts on the Rise

Joe Musgrove San Diego Padres v Pittsburgh Pirates
Joe Musgrove #44 of the San Diego Padres runs to cover first base during the second inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Denis Poroy/Getty Images/AFP

With 15 games on today’s Sunday slate, we’ve added three best bets via our computers! While there are many games in the early afternoon, we zoned in on the later matchups of the slate. Here’s one of three bets that you’ll want to consider today, with the bets MLB odds from the top sportsbooks.

The AI Model believes the Rockies and Padres will only score 9.7 runs in today’s contest. With Bet365 sitting on a total of 11.5, the Under has clear value in today’s afternoon tilt.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick: Under 11.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

Sunday, August 18, 2024 – 03:10 PM ET at Coors Field


Musgrove Will Add Higher Strikeouts

Joe Musgrove will take the hill for the Padres. The right-hander has only struck out 19.9% of batters this season and returned to the mound from an injury with just 5.9% of strikeouts against 17 batters.

But he’s facing a Rockies lineup with eight batters that have struck out at least 24.3% of the time. His strikeout rate will increase, which will only help his entire body of work today.

Lots Of Hits Coming For San Diego

The Rockies will counter with Bradley Blalock. He’s a righty pitcher who has allowed 36.8% of line drives and 36.8% of fly balls over the last month.

In addition, he’s only struck out 17.4% of batters and has allowed 47.4% of hard contact over the last 30 days.

San Diego can take advantage as its lineup has hit a .191 ISO and wOBA of .357 with under 17% of strikeouts over the last month against righties. However, don’t expect the Padres to score at an elite rate. At the end of the day, Blalock has held his first 27 batters this season to a .115 ISO and wOBA of .266. You can thank his low walk rate of 3.7%.

MLB Computer Pick

We’ll rock with the Under in this one.

MLB Pick: Under 11.5 (-110) at Bet365 

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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