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BETTING

Phillies vs. Mariners MLB Computer Pick: Philly To Outlast Seattle

Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler #45 of the Philadelphia Phillies pitches in the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 16, 2024 in Baltimore, Maryland. Greg Fiume/Getty Images/AFP

Today’s MLB slate features many really good pitchers. But our model still believes we will see runs in most games this evening. Take a look at one of our three best bets on top-rated sportsbooks.

Our AI Model suggests the Phillies will escape the Mariners, 4.2-3.3, in today’s matchup. With Philadelphia currently at -130, the Phillies have all the value in today’s game per our AI Model.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick


Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners

Sunday, August 04, 2024 – 04:10 PM ET at T-Mobile Park


Zack Wheeler’s Strikeouts Will Rise

The Phillies will throw Zack Wheeler today. He’s struggled immensely against lefties over the last month, but the Mariners may not even hit him.

After all, the Mariners have struck out 23.8% of the time against righties and have seven batters who have struck out at least 22.7% of the time against righties over the last month.

Wheeler has struck out 28.6% of batters despite his low-tier numbers against lefties. This could be a fun bounce-back performance for Wheeler.

More Balls In Play For Philadelphia

While the Phillies have Wheeler on the hill, the Mariners will pitch Logan Gilbert. He’s another ace, who has struggled more against lefties over the last month.

But while Wheeler has earned more than 30% of strikeouts against lefties, Gilbert has only earned 18.6%.

The Phillies should put the ball in play more frequently. If they do, good things happen.

The Pick

In a potentially tight ball game, back the Phillies per the AI Model.

MLB Pick: Phillies ML (-130) at Bet365

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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