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BETTING

Phillies vs. Mets MLB Computer Pick: High-Scoring Affair in New York

Brandon Nimmo New York Mets New York City
Brandon Nimmo #9 of the New York Mets follows through on his seventh inning RBI single against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citi Field on September 21, 2024 in New York City. Jim McIsaac/Getty Images/AFP

After today, there will only be one more week of the MLB regular season. Throughout the season, the AI Model has killed it. Therefore, let’s keep rolling with the model while we have 15 games on the slate. Here’s one of three bets that you should consider at top-rated sportsbooks.

For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:

MLB Pick


Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Sunday, September 22, 2024 – 07:15 PM ET at Citi Field


The AI Model projects the Phillies and Mets will add 8.3 runs in tonight’s ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game. With the total at just 7 at Caesars Sportsbook, the Over looks to be the play tonight.

Wheeler’s Struggles Against Lefties

It’s unclear how many lefties the Mets will have in tonight’s lineup. However, whatever lefties get the chance to play tonight should be helpful. After all, Zack Wheeler will take the bump, and he’s allowed a .160 ISO with 42.4% of fly balls to lefties over the last month.

Brandon Nimmo and Jesse Winker are two lefties who have had recent success against righties over the last month. Both have above-average ISO and wOBA numbers and could get ahold of one against Wheeler.

Phillies Crush Righties

While Tylor Megill has been solid for the Mets over the last 30 days, he will deal with a Phillies lineup that has hit a .232 ISO and wOBA of .376 against righties during the previous 30 days.

Megill has pitched like an ace recently, holding a .053 ISO and wOBA of .214 over the last 30 days. But he’s also the No. 5 pitcher taking on a lineup that has tattooed righties over the previous month.

The Pick

If the Mets can scratch out a couple on Zack Wheeler, it’s very likely this game goes Over the total of 7.

MLB Pick: Over 7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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