With a massive 16-game slate on the horizon, we asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets. Here’s one of the three bets you’ll want to consider at top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Diamondbacks ML (-165) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Saturday, July 27, 2024 – 08:10 PM ET at Chase Field
Our AI Model likes the Arizona Diamondbacks to earn a 5-3.6 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates at home. Arizona is -165 on the moneyline, but with that projected deficit, backing the Diamondbacks is a no-brainer.
Don’t Trust Marco Gonzales
If you’ve been following our coverage over the last few years, you’d know we love to fade Marco Gonzales. He is a left-handed pitcher who rarely adds strikeouts and gives up more fly balls than ground balls. It’s all happening again this year. He’s just limited walks and hasn’t allowed much power yet. But it’s coming.
The Diamondbacks have plenty of power bats against lefties and lots of players who find ways to get on base. The power could come with runners on base.
Arizona’s On A Roll
Not only are the Arizona Diamondbacks on a roll, but one of their top young pitchers is also finally cruising. Brandon Pfaadt has earned 28.7% of strikeouts over the last 30 days. He’s also held his last 87 batters to a .048 ISO and wOBA of .206. This is how he looked when the Diamondbacks reached the World Series last year.
If he can sustain this success, the sky is the limit for Pfaadt and Arizona.
The Pick
In this crazy pitching mismatch, consider the Diamondbacks at -165.
MLB Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-165) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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