We’re back with another pick using the AI Model! With a full 15-game slate on the horizon, I looked at the model’s predictions and then looked over stats to find the best value plays at top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Orioles ML (-155) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Saturday, June 29, 2024 – 07:15 PM ET at Oriole Park
Our AI Model likes the Orioles to add a 5-4.1 win over the Rangers at home tonight. Baltimore doesn’t have its best pitcher on the mound, but the Rangers don’t either.
How Good Are The Orioles?
The Baltimore Orioles’ projected lineup has hit a .267 ISO and wOBA of .396 against righties over the last 30 days.
There’s not a single batter in the lineup that has hit an ISO below .150 over the last month. One batter has also hit a wOBA of below .355 in the previous 30 days. This team is wicked.
That said, they’ll take on Michael Lorenzen of the Rangers. He’s a righty who has allowed a .240 ISO and wOBA of .391 to his last 162 righties. He’ll face a few sensational righties tonight against other righites, including Ryan Mountcastle and Jordan Westburg.
Texas Has Improved But Isn’t Better
The Texas Rangers had a time when they couldn’t find any offense against either type of pitcher. However, against lefties, the lineup has hit a .168 ISO and wOBA of .337 with 10.5% of walks. They’ve been much better.
They’re just not elite like the Orioles.
Meanwhile, they’ll face Cade Povich, a lefty who still doesn’t have a win. His strikeout rate is low, but he’s held his first 93 batters to a .136 ISO and wOBA of .300, which is good enough for me.
The Pick
Let’s take the Orioles to earn the win over the Rangers tonight.
MLB Pick: Orioles ML (-155) at Bet365
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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