Both No. 1 seeds moved on into the Final Four in yesterday’s Elite Eight. Let’s see if the AI Model also expects the other two No. 1 seeds in tonight’s Elite Eight to get through.
Before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks, here is the best bet for one of tonight’s Elite Eight matchups using the AI Model.
NCAAB Pick
- Houston ML (-160) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougars
Sunday, March 30, 2025 – 02:20 PM EDT at Lucas Oil Stadium
The AI Model predicts Houston will escape Tennessee with a 64-61 win over Tennessee. According to our AI Model, Houston is -160 and has value on the moneyline.
Get Ready for a Slow-Paced Slugfest!
The Houston Cougars are currently the No. 1 rated defense in the nation, according to Kenpom. The Cougars have held etams to 30.5% from deep and 44.5% from inside the arc. In addition, opponents have needed nearly 19 seconds per possession on offense against the Cougars, which is 354th in the country.
The Vols have plenty of quality offensive players. They’re just not the most efficient offense. Tennessee has shot 34.3% from deep and 54.2% from inside the arc. While these are good numbers, nothing really stands out.
Tennessee only does very well in offensive rebounding, but Houston has limited teams to 28.6% of offensive rebounds per game.
Should We Trust Houston?
The Houston Cougars barely got by the Purdue Boilermakers. They needed a last-second play to score and defeat the Boilermakers. The offense isn’t equipped to dominate either. As a matter of fact, Houston has shot only 48.5% from inside the arc.
Still, the Cougars have nailed 39.8% from three, which is the best rate in the nation. Houston doesn’t take a heavy dosage of threes, but Houston knows when to take those shots.
If Houston misses a quality look, the Cougars have way more potential on the offensive glass. Houston has added 36.7% of offensive rebounds, and Tennessee has allowed 30% of offensive rebounds. The Vols also haven’t forced nearly as many turnovers as the Cougars have throughout the season.
Houston just stands out a little more.
The Pick
Let’s take the Cougars and root for a Final Four with all No. 1 seeds in it. That would be crazy.
NCAAB Pick: Houston ML (-160) at Bet365
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