We’ve got an exciting matchup in the Elite Eight for tonight’s college basketball slate. I quickly went to the AI Model and found the best bets for this game. Let’s earn some profit at the top-rated sportsbooks!
NCAAB Pick
- Under 157.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Florida Gators
Saturday, March 29, 2025 – 06:09 PM EDT at Chase Center
The AI Model predicts Texas Tech and Florida will add 157 points combined tonight. Meanwhile, the total is currently at 157.5. That means the Under has some value tonight.
Texas Tech Could Be Fatigued!
The Texas Tech Red Raiders rallied from a 16-point deficit to defeat the Arkansas Razorbacks in the Sweet 16. It was one of the most epic comebacks you’ll ever see in college basketball tournament history.
The Red Raiders have an elite offense that has shot 36.7% from deep and 54.8% from inside the arc. The Red Raiders don’t get to the foul line often but have added 34.3% of offensive rebounds while keeping turnovers down. Ultimately, Texas Tech will succeed on the offensive glass. However, the Red Raiders will struggle to consistently hit shots, as Florida has limited teams to 29.3% from deep and 46.2% from inside the arc this season.
If Texas Tech can’t get to the foul line consistently and struggles from the field, it’s hard to imagine the Red Raiders will even give themselves a chance to win on offense.
Can Florida Be Physical Down Low?
The Florida Gators have an even better offense than Texas Tech. This season, they have shot 35.7% from deep and 56.4% from inside the arc.
Florida has also gained more offensive rebounds and has added more foul shots. That said, Texas Tech has limited teams to 28.2% of offensive rebounds. If Texas Tech can force some difficult shots and dominate the defensive glass like they’ve beem, the Red Raiders will be able to keep Florida below its seasonal average.
The Pick
This should be a tight game throughout. It’ll also be a very fun one. However, don’t expect insane shooting from either team in this one. Both teams played a long Sweet 16 game and will likely be a bit fatigued heading into this game.
Let’s count on the defenses and take the Under.
NCAAB Pick: Under 157.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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