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Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 NBA Computer Pick: Dallas Targeting Oklahoma’s Playoff Exit

The Dallas Mavericks will look to eliminate the Oklahoma City Thunder from the playoffs with tonight’s Game 6 home game. Our AI Model has given us its best bet for you to play at top-rated sportsbooks, and the projections are less than shocking.

And don’t forget to check out more NBA picks on our YouTube channel, where our expert covered this matchup with a complementary betting angle. 

NBA Pick


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks

Saturday, May 18, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center


Our AI Model believes the Mavericks will earn a 107-103 victory at home tonight. With Bet365 currently at -3.5 for the Mavericks, betting on Dallas against the spread looks to be the play.

Dallas Is In a Great Position

The Mavericks certainly don’t want to head back out on the road for Game 7 against the Thunder. Therefore, they’ll likely do whatever they can to finish the No. 1 seeded Thunder in tonight’s game.

Luka Doncic has added back-to-back triple-doubles and looked the best he’s looked in the series in Game 5 on the road. If the Mavericks can get Kyrie Irving to be more aggressive in tonight’s game, Dallas should be set.

Lack Of Defensive Intensity For OKC!

The Thunder began the postseason with terrific defense. However, in three of the last four games against the Mavericks, the Thunder have allowed at least 110.5 points per 100 possessions. Ultimately, the Mavericks just shot a 61.8% effective field goal percentage against the Thunder, on the road, in Game 5.

That isn’t ideal. Dallas is starting to get hot as we get deeper into the playoffs. However, the Thunder haven’t scored more than 107 points per 100 possessions in three straight games. They’ve also shot below a 50% effective field goal percentage in back-to-back games.

The Pick

The AI Model is onto something. I also agree with the Mavericks at -3.5 (-110) in tonight’s Game 6 matchup.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -3.5 (-110) at Bet365

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

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