Nuggets vs. Suns: Devin Booker Over 32.5 Points (-110) at Bet365
Picks Summary
- Celtics vs. 76ers: Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM
- Nuggets vs. Suns: Devin Booker Over 32.5 Points (-110) at Bet365
- Nuggets vs. Suns: Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook
The NBA Playoffs continue with Round 2 coming down to the wire. The Boston Celtics travel to Philadelphia to face the 76ers in Game 6 of their semifinal playoff series. Then the Denver Nuggets take on the Phoenix Suns in another Game 6.
Both of these games have plenty of player props that present value.
Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Thursday, May 11, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Wells Fargo Center
Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics)
- Over 24.5 Points Scored
The Philadelphia 76ers have a chance to end their series with the Boston Celtics tonight to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. They enter tonight’s game with a 3-2 lead. The 76ers know the importance of winning tonight’s game because they do not want to face a Game 7 in Boston.
The Pick
When the pressure rises, Jaylen Brown has been the one to answer. Jayson Tatum steals the headlines because he puts up more points per game than Brown. Tatum has had more prolific performances, yet when the times have been the toughest, it is Jaylen Brown who raises his level of play.
We expect that once again Brown will be an unheralded hero for the Celtics keeping them alive in tonight’s game. Brown has failed to go over this number in his last three games but he had 23 points twice and then 24 points.
With everything on the line and the extra minutes that should be allotted to Brown due to the fact that this is an elimination game, he will push his point production total up even higher.
NBA Prop Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 Points (-120) at BetMGM
Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns
Thursday, May 11, 2023 – 10:00 PM EDT at Footprint Center
Devin Booker (Phoenix Suns)
- Over 30.5 Points Scored
The Phoenix Suns will have their season on the line when they take the court tonight. The Suns fell in game 118-102 to set the stage for tonight’s elimination game.
However, the Suns have won both their games so far at home in this series, and we would not be surprised to see them do so tonight and force a dramatic Game 7.
The Pick
Devin Booker is averaging 35.9 points per game for the playoffs. Booker is 60% from the field and is shooting 51.7% from three-point range. He had gone over tonight’s point total in three straight games before only 28 points in Game 5.
After shooting 77.8% from the field in Game 4, Booker went to 42.1% from the field on the road against Denver. He will be back shooting above 50% tonight as he continues his assault on the Denver Nuggets’ defense.
NBA Prop Pick: Devin Booker Over 32.5 Points (-110) at Bet365
Michael Porter Jr. (Denver Nuggets)
- Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
When going for three-point player props, we are looking at three-point field goal attempts as a solid basis to make our wager. So even though Michael Porter Jr. failed to go over this player prop in the Game 4 loss in Phoenix, the 9 three-point field-goal attempts show us that this is a good bet.
We can expect Porter to shoot better than 22.2% from behind the arc tonight.
The Pick
Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 6.6 three-point field goal attempts per game during this playoffs. He is shooting 42.4% from behind the arc. Assuming he gets seven field-goal attempts and shoots at 42%, he would make three of them.
These are the ways we like to approach a three-point field-goal-made prop. We target usage with high percentage shooters. We have found an excellent opportunity to do that here.
NBA Prop Pick: Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-117) at Caesars Sportsbook
