Best Bet: Jalen Brunson Over 5.5 Assists (-125) at Bet365
Picks Summary
- Jalen Brunson Over 5.5 Assists (-125) at Bet365
- Mitchell Robinson Over 9.5 Rebounds (+120) at BetMGM
- Jimmy Butler Under 5.5 Assists (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook
The NBA Playoffs are in Round 2. The Miami Heat host the New York Knicks in Game 4 of their semifinal playoff series. This game has plenty of player props that we would like to attack.
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Monday, May 08, 2023 – 07:30 PM EDT at Kaseya Center
Jalen Brunson (New York Knicks)
If the New York Knicks are to win this series against the Miami Heat, Jalen Brunson is going to have to lift his level of play.
Brunson has been a pleasant surprise for the New York Knicks after being a controversial signing in the offseason. The Knicks opted to sign Jalen Brunson rather than trade for Donovan Mitchell.
After defeating the Cavaliers in the first round, this appeared to be correct. However, the New York Knicks will need a better performance from Brunson tonight if they are to stay alive.
The Pick
Jalen Brunson averaged 6.2 assists per game during the regular season. He is averaging 5.1 assists per game during the postseason.
Brunson has gone over tonight’s assist prop total of 5.5 in 5 of his last seven games. Over that span, Brunson is averaging 5.6 assists per game. He had eight assists in the Knicks’ 105-86 loss on Saturday.
We expect Brunson to be more involved and to go over his assist prop total tonight.
NBA Prop Pick: Jalen Brunson Over 5.5 Assists (-125) at Bet365
Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks)
The New York Knicks find themselves in a precarious position down 2-1 to the Miami Heat in their semifinal playoff series. The Knicks need to bounce back tonight or their season could be lost.
Mitchell Robinson has been key for the Knicks so far during these playoffs. New York will need a big performance from Robinson tonight if they are to stay alive.
The Pick
Mitchell Robinson is averaging 9.1 rebounds per game over the course of the playoffs. He averaged 9.4 rebounds per game during the regular season.
Robinson has gone over tonight’s rebounding total in three of his last five games. One of the reasons that he failed to get there in his last game is that he only played 14 minutes.
We would expect to see many more minutes from Robinson tonight if the Knicks are to have a chance. More minutes means more rebounds and Robinson will be back in the middle for the Knicks tonight.
Tonight’s game should be much closer than Game 3 and Mitchell Robinson will lead the way by corralling plenty of boards.
NBA Prop Pick: Mitchell Robinson Over 9.5 Rebounds (+120) at BetMGM
Jimmy Butler (Miami Heat)
Jimmy Butler has been on fire for the Miami Heat during these playoffs. However, rather than drive and kick, Butler has been attacking the rim on his own.
Butler has increased his points per game average by over 13 points from the regular season to the postseason. The increased scoring means less passing for Butler. Therefore we will see a downturn in the number of assists that Jimmy Butler will have tonight compared to his regular season totals.
The Pick
Jimmy Butler averaged 5.3 assists per game during the regular season. He has only averaged 4.4 assists per game during the postseason. Butler has gone under on tonight’s assist total in his last six playoff games.
The last time Butler went over this assist total was in the Game 1 win over Milwaukee. He has only gone over this total twice in his nine playoff games this season.
Jimmy Butler’s aggressiveness in attacking the basket will lead to fewer assists tonight. We will take advantage of this by playing an under on his assist total.
NBA Prop Pick: Jimmy Butler Under 5.5 Assists (-113) at Caesars Sportsbook
