The Los Angeles Dodgers walked it off with a Freddie Freeman grand slam in the bottom of the 10th inning. This helped cash in our bets of Dodgers on the moneyline and the Over 8.5 since the game finished with nine runs.
We’ll use that momentum and ask the AI Model for its thoughts on Game 2 of the World Series. In Game 2, Carlos Rodon will pitch for the Yankees, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto will head to the mound for the Dodgers. Both pitchers have lots of potential. However, both pitchers have also struggled a bit against righties over the last month.
We’ll ask the AI Model for its thoughts and add even more research to provide the best analysis for Game 2 of the World Series.
Our AI Model also believes the Dodgers will earn a 4.3-4 win over the Yankees tonight in Game 2 at home. Los Angeles has the value tonight with the Dodgers at -140 MLB odds on the moneyline.
Additionally, top sportsbooks have the Under at 8.5. Our Model projects only 8.3 runs. Therefore, the Under 8.5 is the second-best play for tonight’s World Series Game 2.
Picks Summary
- Dodgers ML (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Under 8.5 (-110) at Bet365
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Saturday, October 26, 2024 – 08:08 PM ET at Dodger Stadium
How Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto Pitch Under Pressure?
Yoshinobu Yamamoto will get the call for the Dodgers. The rookie right-hander was paid a lot of money in the off-season for moments like tonight.
He’s already got a 5.11 ERA in the postseason and has allowed a .355 ISO and wOBA of .459 to 35 righties over the last month.
However, as a righty, he’s held lefties to a .000 ISO and wOBA of .147 with more than 61% of ground balls. He’s been terrific against lefties.
Beyond that, he’s added 24.3% of strikeouts over the last 30 days and has limited teams to only 14.6% of line drives.
Yamamoto will take on a Yankees lineup that has struck out nearly 25% of the time against righties over the last month. This Yankees lineup has much power at the top of the order but dies toward the bottom.
Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are always the biggest threats against righties, especially with Yamamoto struggling against righties. However, the rest of the lineup will leave a lot to be desired against Yamamoto.
Less Power From Los Angeles
The Dodgers don’t typically show a lot of power against lefties. Instead, Los Angeles has hit a .144 ISO and wOBA of .362 over the last 30 days against lefties. The team has struck out only 19% of the time and has walked 12.1% against lefties using the projected lineup.
The Dodgers battle. While Freeman hit a homer off Nestor Cortes last night, the Dodgers are typically patient against lefties and like to work their way on base with walks.
Only three batters in the Los Angeles lineup have struck out at a high rate against lefties. However, that number could rise with a matchup against Carlos Rodon.
Rodon has struck out 33.3% of batters over the last 30 days and has only walked 6.2%. He’ll have a solid outing if he throws strikes and limits mistakes.
That said, the Dodgers should still be able to increase his pitch count pretty quickly and get to the Yankees bullpen that ultimately blew last night’s game.
MLB Computer Picks
Tonight’s pitching matchup will be a good one. Rodon and Yamamoto are terrific pitchers who have had hiccups against righties over the last month.
The Yankees probably have more power but don’t have many bets to keep rallies together. The Dodgers will probably show off less power in this game but could run around the bases more tonight.
Therefore, you’ll want to consider the Dodgers at -140 on the moneyline and select the Under 8.5 in this game. If the Yankees score, it’ll be on solo shots. If New York gets on base, the bottom of the order won’t come through.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers will work counts and get on base but won’t show off much power in this one. That should be enough to win outright but not enough to get Over 8.5. So take the Under to finish out this game.
MLB Pick: Dodgers ML (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
MLB Pick: Under 8.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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