With a massive 16-game slate on the horizon, we asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets. Here’s one of the three bets you’ll want to consider at top-rated sportsbooks.
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Red Sox ML (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Saturday, July 27, 2024 – 07:15 PM ET at Fenway Park
The AI Model believes the Red Sox will earn a 5.3-3.9 victory over the Yankees. With Boston sitting at just -110, there’s plenty of value in Boston to get the win.
What Happened To Marcus Stroman?
Marcus Stroman was never a high-strikeout pitcher. However, the Yankees starter has added just 18.4% of strikeouts over the last month. He’s also allowed a .211 ISO and wOBA of .384 and has allowed high rates to both sides of the plate.
Meanwhile, Boston’s projected lineup has nailed a .223 ISO and wOBa of .384 against righties over the last 30 days. They’ll likely take advantage of Stroman’s weaknesses in tonight’s game. They’ve ultimately got five batters with an ISO of at least .246 against righties over the last 30 days.
New York’s More Inconsistent
The Yankees are known for having two good hitters. That’s Juan Soto and Aaron Judge. While the Yankees are better overall against righties, they’re not putting up stats like the Red Sox against righties.
It’ll also be hard to get on base, especially since they’re facing Kutter Crawford. Crawford might give up some power as a right-handed pitcher, but he’s limited walks to 1.1% over the last 30 days and has allowed just a .270 wOBA.
His low walks have really allowed him to contribute to Boston’s recent success.
The Pick
The AI Model is like the Red Sox to escape with a win. I do, too.
MLB Pick: Red Sox ML (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
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