There are four games on the MLB playoffs slate today! This could ultimately be the final time we’ll have an MLB slate of four or more games until next year’s MLB season. Let’s enjoy it at the top-rated sportsbooks while we can! I’ve added a best bet using the AI Model for tonight’s action. Let’s get right to it!
For more of today’s betting analysis, check out:
MLB Pick
- Yankees ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
Wednesday, October 09, 2024 – 07:08 PM ET at Kauffman Field
The AI Model suggests the Yankees will add a 4.6-4.1 win over the Royals in tonight’s Game 3 matchup. With New York currently sitting at -115 on the moneyline, that’s the play we’ll go with.
Kansas City’s Lineup Isn’t Consistent
The Kansas City Royals haven’t been consistent against righties over the last month. The team has hit a .105 ISO and wOBA of .293 against righties in the previous 30 days. They’ve also struck out 24.6% of the time. Only Michael Massey, Bobby Witt Jr., and Kyle Isbel have put up high ISO and wOBA numbers against righties over the last month.
Meanwhile, they’ll face Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees, who has allowed a .108 ISO and wOBA of .305 to his last 88 batters. He’s struggled against lefties slightly, but the Royals’ lefties have combined for a .119 ISO with a wOBA of .284 over the last month.
More Power Potential With New York
The Yankees won’t have an easier matchup against former All-Star Seth Lugo. However, the team has more power potential.
After all, the Yankees’ projected lineup has hit a .169 ISO and wOBA of .315 against righties over the last 30 days. The team has struck out 26.2% of the time over the previous 30 days but has also worked more than 10% of walks against righties.
Lugo has held his last 102 batters to a .104 ISO and wOBA of .247 but, like Schmidt, has struggled slightly more against lefties. Batters like Juan Soto and Jazz Chisholm have shown a high ISO over the last month, with Chisholm literally hitting a homer earlier in this series.
The Pick
Take the Yankees and thank the AI Model when your ticket hits.
MLB Pick: Yankees ML (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
