NHL Computer Pick: Stars ML (-130) at Bet365
Using our OddsTrader NHL computer picks, we placed tonight’s bet based on the information generated.
The Dallas Stars kept the series alive yet again with back-to-back wins, making the series 3-2 heading into tonight’s game six.
Can the Stars become just the 5th team ever to come back from a 3-0 series deficit? Or will Vegas be able to seal the victory and wrap things up tonight? Our computer says not.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars
Monday, May 29, 2023 – 08:00 PM EDT at American Airlines Center
Dallas Starting to Take Control
The Dallas Stars are still alive in this Western Conference final having won 4-2 in Game 5 with two unlikely goals from TY Dellandrea. The Stars center had 28 points in 82 regular season games and currently has three points in 14 post-season games, an unlikely hero to say the least.
Overcoming Struggles
The Stars have proved this season they can overcome the Golden Knights with five wins from eight games to date. Back-to-back wins have piled the pressure on the Golden Knights who were one win in four games away from the finals, that’s slipped down to needing one win in two games following the last two losses.
Dallas have outplayed the Knights in every game this season bar game one of this series, back on home ice the Stars will be hopeful of producing a third straight victory which would tie the series at 3-3.
Improving Stars
Goaltender Jake Oettinger seems to be back on form having had a desperate start to this series where he allowed 10 goals in the opening three games with just an 84% save percentage. He has since allowed just four goals on 68 shots against, which is just over 95% save percentage.
Jason Robertson has started to come into some strong form having scored in back-to-back games, he is known for getting hot and right now he seems to be on fire, we wouldn’t be surprised to see Robertson come up with 2+ goals tonight.
Let’s not forget the return of Jamie Benn who is not only the captain but has put up 11 points this post-season and ended the regular season as the Stars’ second-highest points scorer.
Vegas Golden Knights Key Stats
- The Vegas Golden Knights are 14-6 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus an opponent this season
- Vegas are 7-2 in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Central Division
- The Knights are 24-13 ATS (+37.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season
- 8 of 11 games in this series have gone under the total over the last 3 seasons (Under +4.7 Units)
Dallas Stars Key Stats
- Dallas are 4-1 in their last 5 games played on a Monday
- The total has gone over in 8 of Dallas’ last 12 games
- The Stars are 6-5 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus the Golden Knights over the last 3 seasons
- Dallas are 4-1 in their last 5 games on home ice
Dallas to Bring Game Back to Sin City
We must remember, the Dallas Stars owned the Golden Knights during the regular season going 3-0, and Vegas have won 2 of their 3 games this series on home ice during overtime. The Knights have only beaten Dallas once in their previous 8 games during regulation time.
Our computer is predicting a home victory by one goal tonight (although it could be more) we were leaning towards a Stars home victory and with the computer predicting just that we are happy to lay the -130 NHL odds for Dallas to tie up the series and take the deciding game back to Sin City in Las Vegas.
Oettinger Can Steal The Show
The Knights only overcame Dallas because of unlikely poor goaltending from Oettinger in the opening two games of the series. We don’t expect the Stars goaltender to slip into that kind of form for the rest of this series.
During the regular season when facing Dallas Oettinger allowed just 3 goals in 3 games with a 96% save percentage.
OddsTrader Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 2 – Dallas Stars 3
NHL Pick: Stars ML (-130) at Bet365
