Best NFL Player Props and Projections

How do NFL player props work?

NFL player props are bets placed on the performance of individual players during a game or football season. Unlike traditional bets that focus on the game’s outcome or total points, these bets target specific achievements by players, such as passing yards, touchdowns or tackles.

Player prop bets can provide value by focusing on matchups, recent player performance or game scripts that favor certain players. For example, if your favorite team is facing a weak rushing defense in an upcoming game, betting on their star running back’s rushing yards might be a profitable move.

Whether you’re betting on a star quarterback or a role player stepping up in a specific situation, NFL player props allow for a more focused and dynamic way to engage with the game.

Understanding Prop Betting Odds

NFL player prop odds indicate the likelihood of an event occurring and the payout for a winning bet. These odds are typically displayed in American format, but they can also appear in fractional or decimal forms depending on your sportsbook settings.

• Negative odds (-): Show how much you need to bet to win $100. For example, -120 means you must bet $120 to win $100.
• Positive odds (+): Show how much you’ll win on a $100 bet. For example, +150 means a $100 wager will win $150.

Prop odds can shift due to factors like injuries, weather or betting trends. Monitoring these changes can help you identify value bets.

Types of NFL Football Player Prop Bets

NFL player prop bets allow bettors to focus on specific aspects of a player’s performance. These bets are broken down into various categories, each highlighting a different facet of the game. The following sections explore key prop markets, from offensive plays like passing and rushing to defensive achievements and special teams performances.

Each type of prop bet provides unique opportunities for bettors to leverage their knowledge of individual players, team strategies and game situations. By understanding these categories, you can make more targeted wagers and increase your chances of success.

Passing Props

Passing props focus on the performance of quarterbacks during a game. These bets can cover various statistical achievements, such as total passing yards, touchdowns, completions or interceptions thrown. With these types of prop bets, bettors analyze factors like the opposing defense, weather and recent performances.

Example: An online sportsbook sets the line for Josh Allen’s passing yards at 275.5 during a game against the Miami Dolphins:

• Over 275.5: You bet that Allen will throw for 276 or more yards.
• Under 275.5: You bet that he will throw for 275 yards or fewer.

Passing props offer a variety of options to focus on a quarterback’s specific contributions, making them a popular choice for NFL bettors.

Rushing Props

Rushing props focus on a player’s performance running the football. These bets often involve total rushing yards, the number of rushing attempts or whether a player will score a rushing touchdown. Bettors evaluate factors like the opposing team’s run defense, the player’s recent form and game plans to make predictions.

Example: A sportsbook sets the line for Derrick Henry’s rushing yards at 95.5 in a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars:

• Over 95.5: You bet that Henry will rush for 96 yards or more.
• Under 95.5: You bet that he will rush for 95 yards or fewer.

Rushing props are ideal for bettors looking to capitalize on favorable matchups or players in run-heavy offensive schemes.

Receiving Props

Receiving props focuses on a player’s performance in catching passes during a game. These bets typically include markets for total receiving yards, receptions and whether a standout player will score a receiving touchdown. Factors like defensive coverage, the quarterback’s tendencies and the player’s recent performance can influence these bets.

Example: An online sports betting site sets the line for Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards at 87.5 in a game against the Green Bay Packers:

• Over 87.5: You bet that Jefferson will record 88 or more receiving yards.
• Under 87.5: You bet that he will record 87 yards or fewer.

Receiving props are popular among bettors looking to leverage insights about player matchups and team passing strategies.

Scoring Props

Scoring props focus on whether a single player will score a touchdown or the number of points they’ll contribute to the game. These player prop bet options often center around offensive stars but can also include defensive or special teams players who have scoring potential.

Example: A sportsbook offers odds for Travis Kelce to score a touchdown during a game against the Los Angeles Chargers:

• Yes (-120): You bet that Kelce will score at least one touchdown.
• No (+100): You bet that Kelce will not score a touchdown.

Scoring props are exciting options for bettors who want to focus on pivotal game moments and key players. These bets can offer significant payouts, especially for players with longer odds.

Defensive Props

Defensive props focus on the performance of defensive players during a game. This player prop category typically involves individual statistics like total tackles, sacks or interceptions. They can also include team-based defensive achievements, such as total turnovers forced.

Example: An online sportsbook sets the line for Micah Parsons’ total tackles and assists at 7.5 in a game against the Philadelphia Eagles:

• Over 7.5: You bet that Parsons will record 8 or more combined tackles and assists.
• Under 7.5: You bet that he will record 7 or fewer.

Defensive props are great for bettors who understand individual matchups, team defensive schemes and the tendencies of opposing offenses. These bets offer a unique way to focus on the impact of key defensive players.

Special Teams Props

Special teams props focus on the performance of kickers, punters and return specialists. These bets often involve a wide array of statistics such as total field goals made, longest field goal or total return yards. They can also include team-based props like total punt yards or blocked kicks.

Example: A sports betting operator sets the line for Justin Tucker’s total field goals made at 2.5 in a game against the Cincinnati Bengals:

• Over 2.5: You bet that Tucker will make 3 or more field goals.
• Under 2.5: You bet that Tucker will make 2 or fewer.

Special teams props allow bettors to highlight the unique contributions of these players and can offer value by focusing on often-overlooked aspects of the game.

Combined Statistical Props

Combined statistical props focus on multiple performance metrics for one or more players. These bets may combine statistical categories such as passing and rushing yards, receptions and receiving yards or tackles and sacks. Bettors evaluate a player’s overall impact across different aspects of the game to predict actual outcomes.

Example: A sportsbook sets the line for Christian McCaffrey’s combined rushing and receiving yards at 125.5 in a game against the Seattle Seahawks:

• Over 125.5: You bet that McCaffrey will total 126 or more combined rushing and receiving yards.
• Under 125.5: You bet that he will total 125 or fewer.

Combined statistical props provide unique opportunities to account for versatile players or to analyze how multiple players might contribute to game outcomes. These bets reward deeper knowledge of player usage and game flow.

Full-Season NFL Prop Bets

Full-season prop bets focus on a player’s statistical performance over the course of an entire NFL season. These bets typically involve total yardage, touchdowns or a wide range of other cumulative metrics. Unlike game-specific props, full-season bets require long-term analysis of player consistency, injury risk and team dynamics.

Example: A sportsbook sets the line for Patrick Mahomes’ total passing yards for the regular season at 4,750.5:

• Over 4,750.5: You bet that Mahomes will throw for 4,751 yards or more by the end of the season.
• Under 4,750.5: You bet that he will throw for 4,750 yards or fewer.

Full-season prop bets appeal to bettors who enjoy following players throughout the year. These wagers require patience and strategic insight into how a player’s performance will evolve over an entire football season.

Specialty Props

Specialty props cover unique or unconventional aspects of a player’s performance or game events. These bets often focus on specific scenarios, milestones or rare occurrences, providing bettors with creative and engaging wagering opportunities.

Example: Your favorite sports betting site offers a prop for Aaron Rodgers to throw a 50+ yard touchdown pass in a game against the Dallas Cowboys:

• Yes (+300): You bet Rodgers will complete a touchdown pass of 50 or more yards.
• No (-400): You bet Rodgers will not achieve this during the game.

Specialty props are ideal for bettors looking for something outside traditional statistical markets. These bets often come with higher payouts due to their unique and less predictable nature.

Parlay Prop Bets

Parlay prop bets combine multiple prop bets into a single wager, requiring all selections to win for the bet to pay out. Customizable parlays can involve props from the same game or multiple games, offering higher payouts due to the increased risk.

Example: A same-game parlay for a matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos might include:

• Patrick Mahomes over 300.5 passing yards.
• Travis Kelce to score a touchdown.
• Russell Wilson over 1.5 interceptions.

If all three legs of the parlay win, the bettor receives a payout based on the combined odds. If any leg loses, the entire parlay is lost.

Parlay prop bets add excitement and the chance for big payouts, but they require careful analysis and strategic selection to maximize value.

Live Betting on NFL Player Props

Live betting on NFL player props allows bettors to place wagers on player performances as the game unfolds. These bets can include updated lines for passing yards, rushing yards, receptions or touchdowns, adjusted in real-time based on the current game situation.

Example: During a game between the Buffalo Bills and the New York Jets, Josh Allen’s live passing yards prop is set at 150.5 at halftime:

• Over 150.5: You bet that Allen will throw for 151 or more yards by the end of the game.
• Under 150.5: You bet that Allen will throw for 150 yards or fewer.

Live betting on player props requires quick decision-making and a strong understanding of the game’s momentum. With careful attention, this dynamic market can be both engaging and profitable for bettors.

Other Types of NFL Props Betting Markets

In addition to player-specific props, NFL prop betting includes a variety of markets that focus on broader aspects of the game. These markets allow bettors to wager on NFL team performance metrics, game outcomes and other unique scenarios.

The following sections cover key prop betting options beyond player props, providing insights into team-focused and game-specific opportunities. These markets offer additional ways to engage with football action and tailor your betting strategy to your preferences.

Game Props

Game props focus on notable events or outcomes within an NFL game, rather than individual player performances. These bets often highlight team-based achievements, game scenarios or situational milestones. Bettors analyze team trends, matchups and game flow to predict the likelihood of various events.

Example: A sportsbook offers a prop on the total number of touchdowns scored in a game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys:

• Over 5.5 touchdowns: You bet there will be 6 or more touchdowns scored in the game.
• Under 5.5 touchdowns: You bet there will be 5 or fewer touchdowns scored.

Other popular game props include:

• First team to score: Betting on which team will score first.
• Total field goals made: Over/Under a set number.
• Whether the game will go into overtime: Yes/No.

Game props allow bettors to focus on the broader action and key moments, offering opportunities to capitalize on unique aspects of the game.

NFL Team Props

Team props focus on the performance or outcomes related to a specific team during a game. These bets often involve cumulative statistics, scoring achievements or specific team-related events. Bettors analyze team trends, matchups and situational factors to identify value in these markets.

Example: A sportsbook sets the line for the Kansas City Chiefs’ total points scored against the Las Vegas Raiders at 28.5:

• Over 28.5: You bet the Chiefs will score 29 points or more.
• Under 28.5: You bet the Chiefs will score 28 points or fewer.

Additional prop bets for teams include:

• Total team touchdowns: Over/Under a set number.
• Team to score first: Betting on which team will record the game’s first points.
• Will the team score in every quarter? Yes/No.

Team props allow bettors to focus on collective performance rather than individual players, providing a broader perspective for predicting game outcomes. These bets are ideal for those who prefer to analyze team strategies and game plans.

How To Place NFL Prop Bets

Placing NFL prop wagers is straightforward and involves a few simple steps. By understanding the process and taking a strategic approach, bettors can maximize their chances of success.

1. Choose a Sportsbook: Select a reputable sportsbook that offers a wide variety of NFL prop markets. Ensure it provides competitive sportsbook odds and convenient features, such as live betting or same-game parlays.

2. Navigate to the NFL Props Section: Once logged in, find the NFL betting section in the sportsbook menu and look for the props category. This is typically organized by player props, game props and team props.

3. Select a Prop Bet: Browse the available prop bets and choose one that aligns with your analysis. For example, you might bet on a player’s total rushing yards or whether a specific team will score first.

4. Review the Odds & Betting Lines: Check the betting odds for your chosen prop bet and ensure you’re comfortable with the potential payout and implied probabilities.

5. Enter Your Stake & Confirm the Bet: Decide how much you want to wager, enter the amount into your bet slip and confirm your bet. Always double-check your selection before submitting.

By following these steps and conducting thorough research, you can place informed NFL prop wagers and enjoy a more engaging betting experience.

Tips & Strategies for Betting on NFL Player Props

NFL prop betting offers a variety of opportunities, but success requires thoughtful analysis and strategic planning. Here are some key tips and strategies to improve your approach:

• Study Matchups: Analyze how teams and players perform against specific opponents. For example, a strong running back facing a weak rushing defense may provide a favorable betting opportunity.
• Monitor Player Usage: Pay attention to trends in player involvement, such as snap counts, target shares or red zone opportunities. High usage often translates to better chances of hitting prop lines.
• Consider Game Script: Predict how the game is likely to unfold. A pass-heavy team may boost the odds of a quarterback exceeding passing yard props in a potential shootout.
• Evaluate Weather & Injuries: Weather conditions like wind or rain can impact passing and kicking props. Similarly, injuries to key players can alter team strategies and create value in adjusted prop lines.
• Focus on Value, Not Favorites: Popular players often have inflated prop lines. Look for undervalued options, such as role players with favorable matchups or game conditions.
• Use NFL Computer Picks: Consider using our sports betting picks to gain an analytical edge. These NFL picks leverage data and predictive modeling to identify valuable prop betting opportunities.
• Avoid Overloading Parlays: While parlaying props can lead to high payouts, each additional leg increases the risk. Focus on single bets or small combinations for more consistent results.
• Use Live Betting for Adjustments: Live prop betting allows you to react to unexpected game developments, such as a high-profile player underperforming or a sudden change in the game script.

By applying these strategies and staying disciplined, you can make more informed betting decisions and enhance your overall betting experience.

Betting Tools & Resources for Football Bettors

Utilizing specialized tools and resources can significantly enhance your NFL prop betting strategy. Here are some valuable options to consider:

• Prop Bet Analyzers: Tools that provide current odds, historical statistics, projections and expert picks for various player props can help identify high-value betting opportunities.
• Odds Comparison Tools: Comparing prop bet odds across multiple sportsbooks ensures you can find the most favorable edges. You can do this easily with our odds table at the top of the page.
• Expert Analysis & Picks: Accessing expert insights and curated prop bet selections helps you make informed decisions based on reliable research.
• Statistical Databases: Detailed player and team statistics inform your bets by offering insights into trends, performance metrics and game situations.
• Injury Reports & News Updates: Staying up to date on player injury updates and team news allows you to adjust your bets based on the most current and relevant information. Our injury news can help you to stay up-to-date with your favorite players and teams.

By integrating these tools and resources into your betting routine, you can make more informed decisions and improve your betting success rate with NFL prop betting.

Conclusion

NFL player props offer an exciting and dynamic way to engage with football games, allowing bettors to focus on specific player performances and game scenarios. From passing yards to defensive tackles, the variety of markets provides opportunities for all types of bettors.

With preparation, research and a disciplined strategy, NFL prop betting can be both rewarding and enjoyable. Start exploring the available prop markets and take your football betting to the next level.

NFL Player Props – Frequently Asked Questions

When do sportsbooks release NFL prop bet odds?

Props are generally available during the week of an NFL game. For bigger games, like the Super Bowl and key playoff or prime-time games, some online books may publish football odds in advance, but these markets generally open a little after the traditional point spread and moneyline betting markets do.

Can you parlay NFL player props bets?

Most online sports betting sites will allow you to parlay football prop bets. A parlay allows you to place multiple bets that all must win in order for the bet to pay off. The risk is greater than making all the bets individually, but the payoff is also much higher.

What are NFL player props?

NFL player props are bets on the individual performance of players in a game, such as the number of touchdowns scored, yards gained or receptions made. This bet type focuses on individual player achievements rather than the football game’s overall outcome.

How do NFL player props work?

NFL player props assign odds to individual achievements of players, reflecting the likelihood of various outcomes, such as scoring a certain number of touchdowns. Bettors choose an outcome and win if it occurs, with payouts based on the odds, incentivizing bets on less likely events for higher returns.

What is the best website for NFL player props?

Sports bettors have a variety of legal sportsbooks that they can choose from for placing NFL prop bets. FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and Caesars Sportsbook are all official sports betting partners of the NFL and they each offer a wide variety of prop bets, including player props and game props.