{"id":5268,"date":"2022-11-18T17:33:11","date_gmt":"2022-11-18T17:33:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/blog\/?p=5268"},"modified":"2022-11-18T17:33:11","modified_gmt":"2022-11-18T17:33:11","slug":"nfl-week-11-upset-warning-why-cowboys-shouldnt-favorites-road","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/betting\/analysis\/nfl-week-11-upset-warning-why-cowboys-shouldnt-favorites-road\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 11 Upset Warning: Why the Cowboys Shouldn\u2019t Be Favorites on the Road"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe title=\"NFL Upset Alert - Week 11 Analysis by Jefe Picks (Nov. 20th)\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/JlBFsp0eE1g?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Green Bay Packers, while the Minnesota Vikings defeated the Buffalo Bills last week. Yet, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/nfl\/\">NFL odds<\/a>, the Vikings are underdogs at home against the Cowboys. Yeah right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Dallas Cowboys lost to a Green Bay Packers team that has won one game in their last seven games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the Vikings are 8-1 and overcame so much to defeat the Bills last weekend. Multiple things had to go Minnesota\u2019s way in the win, but the grit and determination of the ball club stood out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Warning: The Cowboys are in trouble.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/nfl\/event\/dallas-cowboys-vs-minnesota-vikings\/matchup\/?egid=20&amp;eid=4642833&amp;seid=38109\">Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings<\/a><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Sunday, November 20, 2022 &#8211; 04:25 PM EST at U.S. Bank Stadium<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-background has-black-background-color has-black-color is-style-wide\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-heading\">You Can\u2019t Trust Dallas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Dallas Cowboys have only won two of their last four games. They\u2019re coming off a brutal loss to the Green Bay Packers, where they allowed 31 points in overtime to a team that couldn\u2019t even throw the ball consistently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Offense<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cowboys could have Zeke Elliott return to the offense, but that would only hurt the team, with Tony Pollard playing so well in his absence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cowboys have scored 23.4 points per game while allowing 18.2 points per game.<strong> The offense has been average<\/strong>, but Dak Prescott had also been out for the earlier portion of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Defense<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On defense, Dallas has allowed 349.8 yards per game. The coverage and pass rush is top-notch, but <strong>they\u2019ve struggled to stop the run<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cowboys have allowed 143.1 yards per game against the run. They clearly couldn\u2019t stop Green Bay last week. But Tennessee had no problems on Thursday Night Football against Green Bay\u2019s rushing attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cowboys have missed a solid amount of tackles and just can\u2019t get stops in the run game. They\u2019ll be fine in the passing game and can get pressure on Kirk Cousins. But it also won\u2019t be easy going up against Justin Jefferson, who almost had 200 yards receiving last week.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-heading\">Why Vikings Can Pull off Upset<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota is getting disrespected. They\u2019re 8-1 on the season and just knocked off the Buffalo Bills in a gutsy performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Vikings may be lucky in that game, but they kept it close throughout it, regardless.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Vikings have averaged 25.1 points per game but have allowed 21.2 points per game. The defense hasn\u2019t been superior, but <strong>they\u2019ve been consistently good<\/strong>, despite allowing 400.2 yards per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The coverage is weak for the Vikings. They\u2019ve been underperforming. <strong>The run defense should hold Tony Pollard and Zeke Elliott in this game<\/strong>. They\u2019ll lose out on some drives and give the Vikings&#8217; defense opportunities to get off the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-heading\">Game Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Vikings are a legitimate contender. They might even be able to clinch a playoff berth in two weeks if they continue to win. That\u2019s how good they\u2019ve been.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kirk Cousins has thrown for 14 touchdowns and 2,356 yards. 1,060 yards have been thrown to Justin Jefferson, who has 69 receptions and four touchdowns on the season. Jefferson has become one of the best wideouts in the game, thanks to Kirk Cousins, who continues to get him involved in big plays down the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas has struggled to stop the run this season. That means <strong>Dalvin Cook should be able to find some open space in the running game<\/strong>. Once Cook starts to cook, the passing game will open up for Jefferson and the rest of the Minnesota offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Vikings have one of the best offensive lines in football. The run block has been excellent this year. That adds another element to this Minnesota offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-heading\">The Pick<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dallas\u2019 run defense stinks<\/strong>. Minnesota\u2019s run offense is terrific. Then blend in the passing game potential with Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson, and it\u2019s clear that the Vikings are simply the better team, as an underdog, at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Give me the Vikings at +105 to pull off an upset against America\u2019s Team. The Vikings are getting disrespected by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/blog\/top-online-sportsbooks\/\">best sportsbooks<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFL Pick:<\/strong> Vikings (+105) at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/affiliate\/?redirectTo=https:\/\/rt.oddstrader.com\/640b717409b22d0001177ec8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener sponsored nofollow\">Caesars Sportsbook<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Green Bay Packers, while the Minnesota Vikings defeated the Buffalo Bills last week. Yet, according to the NFL odds, the Vikings are underdogs at home against the Cowboys. Yeah right. The Dallas Cowboys lost to a Green Bay Packers team that has won one game in their last seven [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":5278,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"acf":{"tag":null,"excerpt":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5268"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5268"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5268\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.oddstrader.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}